ag平台注册

資訊中心
業內人士:鋼廠利潤下降 鐵礦石上漲受到抑制
  來源:期貨日報 發布時間:2019年12月30日 點擊數:

鋼材補庫需求減弱

11yueyilai,zaigangchanggaolirundequdongxia,gangchangduitiekuangdebukucaozuodaidongtiekuangdafushangzhang。12yue6rizhongyangzhengzhijuhuiyizhaokai,shoucitichujiaqiangjichusheshijianshe,shifanghongguanlihaoxinhao。hongguanmianhejibenmianlihaogongzhen,daidongluowenhetiekuangzhuliyicanghuanyuejiasu,muqianlihaoyinsuzaipanmianchongfenduixian。zhihou,tiekuangshipanmianzai630—670zhijianzhendang,erluowengangpanmianyezai3460—3570zhijiandiaozheng。

ag平台注册jinriduodizhongwurantianqiyujingjiechuhuojiangji,gangcaizaichuantongxuqiudanjizhongxiangduizouruo,luowengangdexiaxingyalizhujianzengjia。suizhugangchanggaolulianganglirunxiajiangzhi300—500yuan/dundeheliqujian,gangchangbukuxuqiudonglijianruo,zheduitiekuangzoushizaochengtuolei,yujitiekuangshishangzhangkongjianyouxian。

澳巴發貨量減少運輸成本下移

ag平台注册jinnianxiabannianbaxikuangqufuchanxiaoxibuduanfuxian,6yue19riwan,baxidanshuiheguguanxuanbrucutukuangqushengyu2000wandunshixuanchannenghuojiangzai72xiaoshifuchan;7yue24ribaxiguojiakuangyejuyunxudanshuiheguhuifuvargemgrandetiekuangquganxuanshengchan;11yue1ribaxijianguanjigouanmpizhunhuifualegriakuangchangdeyunying。zhejidakuangqufuchandexiaoximianjunzaochengpanmianhuiluohuojiasuxiahua,yujibaxiqitakuangqufuchanxiaoxiyehuiduipanmianjiagexingchengdaya。

jutishujulaikan,youyuqianqikuangshanboweijianxiujieshu,12yuedierzhouaobafayunliangkaishidafushangshengzhi2214.7wandun,gonggeiduanyalituxian;disanzhouaobafayunlianglvehuiluo10.3wandunzhi2204.04wandun。fenkuangshanlaikan,aozhousandakuangshanzhong,lituoyubhpkuangshanyincunzaixinzengjianxiu,fayunliangjunyousuohuiluo,fmgkuangshanzhaifubodong,weijianniandichongliangxianxiang;baxifangmian,valekuangshanyinxinzengjianxiujiaoshao,fayunliangzhengtiyousuohuisheng。zonghelaikan,yujiduanqiaobafahuolianghuojixuyouxiaofujianliang,duipanmianyousuozhicheng。

tiekuangshizhishucaijidejiageweizhongguozhuyaogangkoudetiekuangshicfr(chengben+yunfei)xianhuojiage,qizoushihetiekuangzhuliheyuezoushigaoduxiangguan。12yueyilaizhijin,tiekuangshizhishucong94.35meiyuan/gandunxiajiangzhizhi89.7meiyuan/gandun。jinyibufenxi,baxi—zhongguodetiekuangshiyunshuchengbenzhantiekuangshicfrde20%zuoyou,aodaliya—zhongguoyunshuchengbenzezhantiekuangshicfrde10%zuoyou。

jutilaikan,baxitubalang—qingdaodetiekuangshiyunfeicong12yuechude22.6meiyuan/dunxiajiangzhi19meiyuan/dun;xiao—qingdaodetiekuangshiyunfeiyecong12yuechude10.7meiyuan/dunxiajiangzhi7.6meiyuan/dun。12yuetiekuangshideyunfeichengbenzhongxinyousuoxiayi,daidongtiekuangshizhishuxiajiang,tiekuangshideyunshugonggeihuoyouzengjia,duitiekuangpanmianshangzhangxingchengyidingdedaya。

高爐煉鋼利潤下降

11yuezhi12yuezhongxun,rijunshugangliangzhengtizai300wandunyishangdegaoweiyunxing。zaiciqijian,zaigangchanggaolulianganggaolirundequdongxia,tiekuangshixuqiuqiangjing。dan12yue20riderijunshugangliangconggaoweidafuhuiluo46.57wandunzhi271.43wandun,jiejinquniantongqishuiping。rijunshugangliangshujuxiajiang,yifangmianshiyouyutangshanlianggangfenggangdaozhi,lingyifangmianyeshigangchangxuqiuzouruodezhengzhao。

12yue27rizuixinshujuxianshi,quanguo247jiagangchanggaolukaigonglvwei76.89%,huanbixiajiang0.93gebaifendian;shaojiekuangzongrihaowei53.17wandun,huanbixiajiang3.94wandun,lianxuliangzhouxiajiang。ciwai,chunjieqianyeshigangchangjianxiudemijishiqi,yujiduanqitiekuangxuqiunanyoujiaodadetishengkongjian。

ag平台注册jingcesuan,luowengangdegaolushengchanchengbencong11yuedide3330yuan/dunpanshengzhi3437yuan/dun,suihouyoujiangdao3330yuan/dunfujin。danyouyujiancaishichangxianhuojiagechixuxiajiang,gaolulianganglirunyecong11yuedide800yuan/dunxiajiangzhimuqiande400yuan/dun。gaolulianganglirundafuxiajiang,qianqigangchangbukudonglijianruo,tiekuangshigangkoukucunjixuleiji。12yue27rishujuxianshi,tiekuangshigangkoukucunhuanbishangsheng2.49wandunzhi12695wandun,dadao11yueyilaidexingao。

gangchangtiekuangjueduikucunlaikan,12yue27ridegangchangshaojiekuangkucun1843.09wandun,lianxu6zhoushangsheng,tongbigaowei,chuangjinnian2yueyilaidexingao。keyikandao,11yueyilaigangchangbukuyuqizaipanmiandeyichongfenduixianzhihou,zuijinliangzhougangchangtiekuangkucunshangshengduipanmiandeyingxiangjianxiao,qianqigangchangbukucaozuozhichengtiekuangshangzhangdedonglijianruo。tongshi,zaimuqiangangchanggaolulianganglirunjiangzhi400yuan/dundeqingkuangxia,yujigangchangduitiekuangshibukucaozuodekongjianhuoyouxian。

ag平台注册conggangchangtiekuangxiangduikucunlaikan,jinkoukuangkucunkeyongtianshuzengjia5tianzhi32tian,shengzhijinlianggeyuedegaowei。jinkoukuangkucunkeyongtianshushigangchangtiekuangkucunhecaigouxuqiuqiangduliangzhejiehedeguanjianzhibiao,zaijinkoukuangkucunkeyongtianshuxiangduigaoweideshihou,gangchangdecaigoujijixinghuiyousuoxueruo。

螺紋鋼社庫和廠庫持續累積

tangshanguyequzi12yue26riqiquanqujiechuzhongwurantianqiⅱjiyingjixiangying;shanxishenglinfenshijuedingzi12yue26rilingshiqijiangzhongwurantianqihongseyujingjiangjiweichengseyujing;tianjinshicong12yue25ri20shiqizhongzhizhongwurantianqiyingjixiangying。beifangduodizhongwurantianqiyujingjiechuhuojiangji,duiheisexishilikongxiaoxi,yehuituoleiheisexizhengtipanmianshangzhang。

jinjinianlai,luowenkucunqingkuangchengxianchuxianzhudezhouqixingtezheng,12yuezhilainian2yueshiluowengangkucunmingxianleijijieduan。zaigangcaizhongduanxuqiujiaoweiqiangshideqingkuangxia,11yueluowengangshehuikucunhegangchangkucunyanxu10yuedexiajiangqushi,jiangzhijinsanniandediweiquyu。12yue25rishehuikucunwei283.24wandun,luowengangchangkucunwei189.69wandun。qianqihebei、shandongdengdiyinhuanbaoxianchan,duanjianbilizengjia,chanliangjiangfukuoda。jinriduodizhongwurantianqiyujingjiechuhuojiangji,diejiaduojiagangchangduanjianjieshu,chanliangzhujianhuifu,yujiluowengangkucunhuijixuleiji,congerduigangjiaxingchengyidingdeyizhi。

上海線螺采購量下降

ag平台注册12yuepmigongbuzaiji,dagailvhuidiexiarongkuxian。jinnian11yuepmizhishuwei50.2%,zhongshangrongkuxian,huanbi10yueshangxing0.9gebaifendian,gaoyuyuqi。11yuepmizhishuyibanshisijidubiaoxianzuigaodeyigeyue,yuji12yuehuiyouhuiluo,daidongheisexixiaxing。

2019nian1—11yue,quanguofangdichankaifatouzi121265yiyuan,tongbizengchang10.2%,zengsubi1—10yuehuiluo0.1gebaifendian;fangdichankaifaqiyefangwushigongmianji874814wanpingfangmi,tongbizengchang8.7%,zengsubi1—10yuehuiluo0.3gebaifendian;fangwuxinkaigongmianji205194wanpingfangmi,zengchang8.6%,zengsuhuiluo1.4gebaifendian。2019nian1—11yuejichusheshitouzi(buhandianli、reli、ranqijishuishengchanhegongyingye)tongbizengchang4.0%,zengsubi1—10yuehuiluo0.2gebaifendian。

keyikandao,12yuegongbudeguanyufangdichanhejijianshujuzhuyaozhibiaodouyousuohuiluo,mingnian1yuezhi2yueshihongguanshujuzhenkongqi,3yuehongguanshujuyuqipianruo,jiangyindaoduanqiheisexidepanmianzouruo。fangdichanfangmian,zai“fangzhubuchao”dezongjidiaoxia,yuqifangdichanhuiwenhehuiluo;jijianfangmian,nianchujijiantouzijishujiaodi,zhuanxiangzhaideladongzuoyongjiangshifenmingxian,dannianchujijianhuinuandaohezhongchengdurengcunyi。

ag平台注册suizhubeifangdiqutianqibianleng,xuqiuzhujianzouruo,beifangdeziyuanhuojiangjizhongliuruhuadong、huananshichang,nanfangdiqujiancaigonggeijinzhangdegejujiangdedaogaiguan,jinerdaozhijiagehuiluo。jutishujulaikan,12yue20rishanghaixianluozhoucaigouliangwei2.39wandun,huanbixiajiang5.53%,lianxusizhouxiajiang,zaimingnian1yuegangcaixuqiuchuantongdanjideqingkuangxia,yujishanghaixianluozhoucaigouliangyoujixuxiajiangdekongjian。

鐵礦石主力合約基差保持穩定

yiqingdaogangpbfenweixianhuojizhun,bingyi0.92weishidun/gandunzhesuanxishu,tiekuangshizhuliheyuedejichamuqianwendingzai75—90yuan/dunzhijian。12yue26riqingdaogangpbfenwei659yuan/shidun,tiekuangshizhuliheyueshoupanjiawei639.5yuan/dun,jichawei76.8yuan/dun。jiezhi12yue26ri,jinniantiekuangshizhuliheyuedejichazuidazhiwei230.1yuan/dun,zuixiaozhi9.5yuan/dun,pingjunshu97.3yuan/dun。muqianjichachuyuzhongjianpiandishuiping,zaigangkouxianhuojiagehuanmanxiajiangdeqingkuangxia,duanqipanmianshangzhangyeshoudaoyizhi。

yiluowenganghrb40020mmshanghaidiquweixianhuojizhun,bingyi0.97weibangchazhesuanxishu,luowengangzhuliheyuedejichacong12yuechu600yuan/dunxiajiangzhi285yuan/dun。12yue26riluowenganghrb40020mmshanghaibaojia3700yuan/dun,luowengangzhuliheyuewei3529yuan/dun,jichawei285.4yuan/dun。tongjishanglaikan,jiezhi12yue26ri,jinnianluowengangzhuliheyuedejichazuidazhiwei709.4yuan/dun,zuixiaozhiwei62.8yuan/dun,pingjunshu346.8yuan/dun。muqianjichachuyuzhongjianpiandishuiping,zaijiancaijiagechixuxiajiangdeqingkuang,diejiashougangcaijibenmianzhuanruosuoqudong,yujiduanqipanmianyehuiyousuozouruo。

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